Los costos promedio de la electricidad solar y eólica podrían caer un 59% para el año 2025

Los costos promedio de la electricidad generada por las tecnologías solar y eólica podrían disminuir entre un 26% y un 59% para 2025, según un informe publicado por la Agencia Internacional de Energía Renovable (IRENA). Se estima que para el año 2025, los costos promedio de electricidad podrían disminuir un 59% para la energía solar fotovoltaica (PV), un 35% para la energía eólica marina y un 26% para la energía eólica terrestre en comparación con 2015.

Average costs for electricity generated by solar and wind technologies could decrease anything between 26% and 59% by 2025, a report released by International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) indicated.  It estimates that by 2025, average electricity costs could decrease 59% for solar photovoltaics (PV), 35% for offshore wind, and 26% for onshore wind compared to 2015.


Electricity prices for concentrated solar power could also decrease as much as 43 per cent, depending on the technology used. By 2025, the global average cost of electricity from solar PV and onshore wind will be roughly 5 to 6 US cents/ kWh (Rs 3.36 per unit to Rs 4.03 per unit). 

IRENA director-general Adnan Z Amin said: "We have already seen dramatic cost decreases in solar and wind in recent years and this report shows that prices will continue to drop, thanks to different technology and market drivers." 

"Given that solar and wind are already the cheapest source of new generation capacity in many markets around the world, this further cost reduction will broaden that trend and strengthen the compelling business case to switch from fossil fuels to renewables," he said. 

Since 2009, prices of solar PV modules and wind turbines have fallen roughly 80% and 30 to 40$, respectively. With every doubling of cumulative installed capacity, solar PV module prices drop 20$ and cost of electricity from wind farms drops 12%, due to economies of scale and technology improvements. 

Importantly for policy makers, cost reductions to 2025 will depend increasingly on balance of system costs like inverters, racking and mounting systems and civil works, technology innovations, operations and maintenance costs and quality project management. The focus in many countries must therefore shift to adopting policies that can reduce costs in these areas. 

"Historically, cost has been cited as one of the primary barriers to switching from fossil-based energy sources to renewable energy sources, but the narrative has now changed," said Amin. "To continue driving the energy transition, we must now shift policy focus to support areas that will result in even greater cost declines and thus maximise the tremendous economic opportunity at hand." 



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